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Framework for COVID-19 key community health indicators and metrics

Jul 13, 2020

Flagler College continues to closely monitor the rapidly evolving conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic. Our first priority was establishing a Reopening Plan that makes clear the health and safety protocols for our campus in the Fall. Our next priority is regular and public communication of the local conditions for the virus and what that means for our on-campus operations.

A sub-group of the Reopening Task force has established a set of key community health indicators and metrics that will be used to determine our operational status, working from the recommendations of the Johns Hopkins “COVID-19 Planning Guide and Self-Assessment for Higher Education.” Those key metrics are detailed below.  The next steps for the College are 1) to establish thresholds for alert level assessment given the specifics of our campus operations; 2) to create a tailored "operations table" that explains what various alert levels mean for our campus operations; and 3) to create a forum for regular publication of these metrics and our assessment of our alert level and operations status. We will send out an update on this at the end of the week.

Flagler College COVID Metrics

The metrics developed are grouped into two areas – Environmental and Internal – each with its own set of unique questions and key indicators.  

ENVIRONMENTAL 

 

Key Question 

Key Metric 

 

What Phase is the State in?

 

Reopening Phase 

Are there signs of a resurgence in cases? 

Influenza-like illness or COVID-19-like illness (syndromic data) 

 

Can the local hospital(s) absorb additional cases?

 

Available beds/ventilators/staff 

Testing capacity (are we testing enough to detect cases?) 

Daily new cases/100,000 people (7-day rolling average) 

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Percentage of positive tests (7-day rolling average 

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Trends in daily infection rate 

INTERNAL 

 

Key Question 

Key Metric 

Are we protecting students, faculty, and staff? 

Number of infections (Flagler College) 

Available number of contact tracers/case load 

 

Is there sufficient capacity for quarantine and isolation? 

 

Number of available rooms 

 

Are there sufficient cleaning supplies, PPE, and testing available?

 

Inventory levels 

 

Are stakeholders complying with restrictions and safety measures?  

Compliance with health app 

 

 

Do we have robust contact tracing? 

% cases linked epidemiologically to other known cases    

About the use of these metrics

As we enter our fifth month of monitoring and responding to COVID-19, one thing has become certain: every plan or process needs to take into account the particularities of our community and campus, and to incorporate flexibility and adaptability with a holistic evaluation of conditions. These metrics (and the corresponding operations table to come) are built with that knowledge in mind. It is important to note that there is no date or set moment where the College can forecast a movement in phases. The decision to shift phases, as is recommended by the Johns Hopkins Guide, will be informed by a variety of data in consultation with state and local health officials and campus administration. No one metric should be emphasized over another as a rule, as at any time any particular metric could necessitate a shift in alert level and operations — for example, a shortage of cleaning supplies or a state-wide shut down.  

It is possible the College could move throughout levels and modes of operation throughout the semester, making it necessary for all individuals to be prepared to adapt to a variety of situations and scenarios.  The data and our status will be updated regularly in order to provide the best and clearest picture of our conditions.

The sub-group of the Reopening Task Force will continue their work to further develop the framework for our COVID metrics. ​Questions, comments or suggestions can be emailed to reopening@flagler.edu

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